Tip of the Day - 2nd November, ARDLUI, Newmarket 3.55 WIN
It might seem bonkers to tip a horse carrying top weight of 10-0 in a 2m slog in the mud on Newmarket’s stiff Rowley Mile course.
But unless he was confident of winning it, I cannot believe that trainer Alan King would bother wasting his time with this late-season contest on the Flat when his four-year-old is clearly primed, and well-handicapped, for a return to hurdles.
The son of Galileo was a promising juvenile hurdler last year but has shown much-improved form on the level in recent weeks, thanks largely to successful breathing and gelding operations.
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At Chester in September, he gave a scare to Countrywide Flame, who went on to run a blinder in the Cesarewitch.
And at Ascot last month, he was beaten only by a progressive younger horse receiving 19lbs in the weights, with an eight-length gap back to the third.
I have no doubt he is the best horse in this race, for which the galloping track on soft ground ought to be right up his street.
THURSDAY: SENTARIL WON (10/3)
WEDNESDAY: ELIDOR 4TH
TUESDAY: MOLOTOF WON (evens)
MONDAY: FICKLE FORTUNE 2ND
TIP OF THE DAY IS SUPPLIED BY SCOOP RACING (RICHARD SILVERWOOD)